Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.2% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $127.32 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.47 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $140 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$2,215 (18.8%) on $11,785 risked, vs +$1,268 (10.0%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $140 by Jun 19
+$2,215
+18.8% on $11,785 risked
Max Profit
+$2,215
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$11,785
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$117.85
-7.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.1 / 10.79 / -21.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$1,809 | -$1,699 | -$1,617 | -$1,599 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$1,293 | -$1,144 | -$1,010 | -$963 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$818 | -$628 | -$433 | -$326 |
| $121 (-5%) | -$386 | -$160 | +$98 | +$310 |
| $125 (-2%) | -$149 | +$97 | +$389 | +$692 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$257 | +$570 | +$947 |
| $130 (+2%) | +$142 | +$409 | +$740 | +$1,202 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$342 | +$620 | +$973 | +$1,584 |
| $140 (+10%) โ target | +$636 | +$927 | +$1,300 | +$2,215 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$894 | +$1,187 | +$1,560 | +$2,215 |
| $153 (+20%) | +$1,111 | +$1,399 | +$1,755 | +$2,215 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.