Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.7% โ LOW
(-43.7% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.0 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.68 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $120 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$350 (47.8%) on $732 risked, vs $-732 (-5.7%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 8.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $120 by Jun 19
+$350
+47.8% on $732 risked
Max Profit
+$336
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$683
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$127.23
-0.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.25 / 1.25 / 4.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$190 | -$158 | -$117 | -$148 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$194 | -$153 | -$87 | -$25 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$207 | -$162 | -$80 | +$162 |
| $120 (-6%) โ target | -$224 | -$179 | -$97 | +$379 |
| $125 (-2%) | -$243 | -$203 | -$127 | +$139 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | -$255 | -$218 | -$149 | +$27 |
| $130 (+2%) | -$268 | -$234 | -$174 | -$74 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$288 | -$261 | -$215 | -$205 |
| $140 (+10%) | -$325 | -$309 | -$291 | -$375 |
| $146 (+15%) | -$364 | -$360 | -$369 | -$497 |
| $153 (+20%) | -$403 | -$410 | -$441 | -$581 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.