Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.7% โ LOW
(-43.7% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.09 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $110 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$291 (24.0%) on $1,209 risked, vs $-1,732 (-13.6%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $110 by Jun 19
+$291
+24.0% on $1,209 risked
Max Profit
+$11,291
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,209
Premium paid
Break-even
$112.91
-11.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.74 / -9.33 / 21.17
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$1,428 | +$1,295 | +$1,160 | +$1,105 |
| $108 (-15%) | +$996 | +$826 | +$628 | +$469 |
| $110 (-14%) โ target | +$884 | +$705 | +$490 | +$291 |
| $115 (-10%) | +$614 | +$415 | +$162 | -$168 |
| $121 (-5%) | +$283 | +$64 | -$224 | -$804 |
| $125 (-2%) | +$108 | -$118 | -$417 | -$1,186 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$227 | -$529 | -$1,209 |
| $130 (+2%) | -$100 | -$328 | -$629 | -$1,209 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$237 | -$464 | -$757 | -$1,209 |
| $140 (+10%) | -$434 | -$652 | -$919 | -$1,209 |
| $146 (+15%) | -$596 | -$798 | -$1,029 | -$1,209 |
| $153 (+20%) | -$727 | -$909 | -$1,101 | -$1,209 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.