Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.7% โ LOW
(-43.7% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $127.32 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.68 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $140 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$300 (2.2%) on $13,700 risked, vs +$1,268 (10.0%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $140 by Jun 19
+$300
+2.2% on $13,700 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,700
Put floors you at $120
Break-even
$137.00
+7.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.92 / -8.99 / 20.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$1,265 | -$1,416 | -$1,587 | -$1,700 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$1,026 | -$1,210 | -$1,439 | -$1,700 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$734 | -$940 | -$1,210 | -$1,700 |
| $121 (-5%) | -$391 | -$609 | -$897 | -$1,605 |
| $125 (-2%) | -$162 | -$381 | -$670 | -$1,223 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$218 | -$502 | -$968 |
| $130 (+2%) | +$169 | -$47 | -$323 | -$713 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$434 | +$224 | -$36 | -$331 |
| $140 (+10%) โ target | +$902 | +$706 | +$481 | +$300 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$1,410 | +$1,234 | +$1,048 | +$942 |
| $153 (+20%) | +$1,940 | +$1,786 | +$1,639 | +$1,578 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.