Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.7% โ LOW
(-43.7% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.44 ยท ฮ 0.59
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.09 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $145 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-754 (-27.4%) on $2,754 risked, vs +$1,768 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $145 by Jun 19
$-754
-27.4% on $2,754 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,754
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$152.54
+19.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.52 / -20.18 / 42.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$310 | +$11 | -$294 | -$439 |
| $108 (-15%) | +$82 | -$291 | -$722 | -$1,075 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$45 | -$477 | -$1,016 | -$1,712 |
| $121 (-5%) | -$71 | -$542 | -$1,153 | -$2,348 |
| $125 (-2%) | -$39 | -$524 | -$1,156 | -$2,730 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$489 | -$1,125 | -$2,521 |
| $130 (+2%) | +$55 | -$436 | -$1,070 | -$2,266 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$162 | -$325 | -$944 | -$1,884 |
| $140 (+10%) | +$405 | -$64 | -$632 | -$1,248 |
| $145 (+14%) โ target | +$643 | +$197 | -$316 | -$753 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$718 | +$281 | -$216 | -$611 |
| $153 (+20%) | +$1,093 | +$694 | +$277 | +$25 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.