Target Price Playground
ISRG
$450.62
๐ข
ISRG IV: 34.1% โ LOW
(-44.6% vs 30d avg of 61.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $500 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $450 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $31.2 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ISRG hits $500 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,880 (60.3%) on $3,120 risked, vs +$4,938 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $45,062. Options give 5.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ISRG is at $500. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ISRG hits $500 by Jun 19
+$1,880
+60.3% on $3,120 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,120
Premium paid
Break-even
$481.20
+6.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.96 / -22.74 / 75.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ISRG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $361 (-20%) | -$2,896 | -$3,035 | -$3,112 | -$3,120 |
| $383 (-15%) | -$2,599 | -$2,856 | -$3,063 | -$3,120 |
| $406 (-10%) | -$2,076 | -$2,467 | -$2,875 | -$3,120 |
| $428 (-5%) | -$1,276 | -$1,774 | -$2,378 | -$3,120 |
| $442 (-2%) | -$650 | -$1,188 | -$1,865 | -$3,120 |
| $451 (0%) โ spot | -$173 | -$724 | -$1,422 | -$3,058 |
| $460 (+2%) | +$350 | -$203 | -$899 | -$2,157 |
| $473 (+5%) | +$1,218 | +$679 | +$24 | -$805 |
| $500 (+11%) โ target | +$3,201 | +$2,735 | +$2,239 | +$1,880 |
| $518 (+15%) | +$4,705 | +$4,305 | +$3,926 | +$3,701 |
| $541 (+20%) | +$6,695 | +$6,377 | +$6,111 | +$5,954 |
Uses ISRG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.