Target Price Playground
JPM
$309.87
๐ข
JPM IV: 27.7% โ LOW
(-42.8% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.87 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.45 ยท ฮ 0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If JPM hits $345 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,458 (139.9%) on $1,042 risked, vs +$3,513 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $30,987. Options give 12.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if JPM is at $345. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if JPM hits $345 by Jun 19
+$1,458
+139.9% on $1,042 risked
Max Profit
+$1,458
If the stock โฅ $335 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,042
Net debit
Break-even
$320.42
+3.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
29.39 / -4.07 / 14.49
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| JPM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $248 (-20%) | -$1,010 | -$1,033 | -$1,042 | -$1,042 |
| $263 (-15%) | -$933 | -$994 | -$1,036 | -$1,042 |
| $279 (-10%) | -$767 | -$870 | -$989 | -$1,042 |
| $294 (-5%) | -$488 | -$601 | -$787 | -$1,042 |
| $304 (-2%) | -$274 | -$365 | -$537 | -$1,042 |
| $310 (0%) โ spot | -$117 | -$183 | -$316 | -$1,042 |
| $316 (+2%) | +$44 | +$10 | -$62 | -$435 |
| $325 (+5%) | +$288 | +$305 | +$338 | +$494 |
| $341 (+10%) | +$661 | +$749 | +$914 | +$1,458 |
| $345 (+11%) โ target | +$749 | +$849 | +$1,029 | +$1,458 |
| $356 (+15%) | +$958 | +$1,074 | +$1,254 | +$1,458 |
| $372 (+20%) | +$1,165 | +$1,271 | +$1,396 | +$1,458 |
Uses JPM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.