Target Price Playground
JPM
$309.87
๐ข
JPM IV: 27.2% โ LOW
(-43.9% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $275 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.86 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If JPM hits $275 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$2,214 (172.2%) on $1,286 risked, vs $-3,487 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $30,987. Options give 15.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if JPM is at $275. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if JPM hits $275 by Jun 19
+$2,214
+172.2% on $1,286 risked
Max Profit
+$29,714
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,286
Premium paid
Break-even
$297.14
-4.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.66 / -9.4 / 52.17
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| JPM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $248 (-20%) | +$4,707 | +$4,762 | +$4,836 | +$4,924 |
| $263 (-15%) | +$3,257 | +$3,257 | +$3,293 | +$3,375 |
| $275 (-11%) โ target | +$2,256 | +$2,194 | +$2,160 | +$2,214 |
| $279 (-10%) | +$1,945 | +$1,860 | +$1,793 | +$1,826 |
| $294 (-5%) | +$848 | +$677 | +$468 | +$276 |
| $304 (-2%) | +$316 | +$112 | -$159 | -$653 |
| $310 (0%) โ spot | +$15 | -$199 | -$489 | -$1,273 |
| $316 (+2%) | -$243 | -$458 | -$746 | -$1,286 |
| $325 (+5%) | -$555 | -$757 | -$1,009 | -$1,286 |
| $341 (+10%) | -$908 | -$1,060 | -$1,214 | -$1,286 |
| $356 (+15%) | -$1,105 | -$1,201 | -$1,272 | -$1,286 |
| $372 (+20%) | -$1,205 | -$1,258 | -$1,284 | -$1,286 |
Uses JPM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.