Target Price Playground
JPM
$309.87
๐ข
JPM IV: 27.7% โ LOW
(-42.8% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.87 ยท ฮ 0.54
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.86 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If JPM hits $355 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$1,727 (62.3%) on $2,773 risked, vs +$4,513 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $30,987. Options give 4.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if JPM is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if JPM hits $355 by Jun 19
+$1,727
+62.3% on $2,773 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,773
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$282.27
-8.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
21%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.11 / -21.27 / 104.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| JPM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $248 (-20%) | +$3,259 | +$3,284 | +$3,350 | +$3,437 |
| $263 (-15%) | +$1,906 | +$1,823 | +$1,812 | +$1,888 |
| $279 (-10%) | +$831 | +$578 | +$361 | +$339 |
| $294 (-5%) | +$188 | -$237 | -$739 | -$1,211 |
| $304 (-2%) | +$53 | -$438 | -$1,065 | -$2,140 |
| $310 (0%) โ spot | +$72 | -$440 | -$1,104 | -$2,760 |
| $316 (+2%) | +$176 | -$339 | -$998 | -$2,166 |
| $325 (+5%) | +$480 | -$7 | -$595 | -$1,237 |
| $341 (+10%) | +$1,324 | +$936 | +$546 | +$313 |
| $355 (+15%) โ target | +$2,369 | +$2,084 | +$1,848 | +$1,727 |
| $372 (+20%) | +$3,827 | +$3,639 | +$3,503 | +$3,411 |
Uses JPM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.