Target Price Playground
JPM
$309.87
๐ข
JPM IV: 27.7% โ LOW
(-42.8% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.87 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If JPM hits $345 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$2,013 (135.4%) on $1,487 risked, vs +$3,513 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $30,987. Options give 12.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if JPM is at $345. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if JPM hits $345 by Jun 19
+$2,013
+135.4% on $1,487 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,487
Premium paid
Break-even
$324.87
+4.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.77 / -11.87 / 52.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| JPM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $248 (-20%) | -$1,449 | -$1,478 | -$1,487 | -$1,487 |
| $263 (-15%) | -$1,350 | -$1,434 | -$1,481 | -$1,487 |
| $279 (-10%) | -$1,113 | -$1,282 | -$1,432 | -$1,487 |
| $294 (-5%) | -$660 | -$914 | -$1,207 | -$1,487 |
| $304 (-2%) | -$263 | -$550 | -$906 | -$1,487 |
| $310 (0%) โ spot | +$56 | -$241 | -$615 | -$1,487 |
| $316 (+2%) | +$418 | +$119 | -$252 | -$880 |
| $325 (+5%) | +$1,035 | +$750 | +$414 | +$49 |
| $341 (+10%) | +$2,232 | +$1,996 | +$1,759 | +$1,599 |
| $345 (+11%) โ target | +$2,581 | +$2,361 | +$2,149 | +$2,013 |
| $356 (+15%) | +$3,584 | +$3,404 | +$3,250 | +$3,148 |
| $372 (+20%) | +$5,033 | +$4,897 | +$4,787 | +$4,697 |
Uses JPM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.