Target Price Playground
KEYS
$324.18
๐ข
KEYS IV: 47.6% โ LOW
(-35.9% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $365 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.05 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KEYS hits $365 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,195 (42.6%) on $2,805 risked, vs +$4,082 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $32,418. Options give 3.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KEYS is at $365. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KEYS hits $365 by Jun 19
+$1,195
+42.6% on $2,805 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,805
Premium paid
Break-even
$353.05
+8.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.27 / -22.01 / 54.93
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KEYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $259 (-20%) | -$2,330 | -$2,566 | -$2,755 | -$2,805 |
| $276 (-15%) | -$1,976 | -$2,311 | -$2,642 | -$2,805 |
| $292 (-10%) | -$1,477 | -$1,902 | -$2,389 | -$2,805 |
| $308 (-5%) | -$818 | -$1,312 | -$1,925 | -$2,805 |
| $318 (-2%) | -$346 | -$865 | -$1,525 | -$2,805 |
| $324 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$530 | -$1,205 | -$2,805 |
| $331 (+2%) | +$370 | -$164 | -$844 | -$2,239 |
| $340 (+5%) | +$970 | +$438 | -$227 | -$1,266 |
| $357 (+10%) | +$2,076 | +$1,571 | +$973 | +$355 |
| $365 (+13%) โ target | +$2,697 | +$2,214 | +$1,665 | +$1,195 |
| $373 (+15%) | +$3,300 | +$2,841 | +$2,342 | +$1,976 |
| $389 (+20%) | +$4,621 | +$4,218 | +$3,823 | +$3,597 |
Uses KEYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.