Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
KLAC
$1,737.28
๐ŸŸข
KLAC IV: 49.5% โ€” LOW (-37.4% vs 30d avg of 79.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $1530 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $1740 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $154.6 ยท ฮ” -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $1600 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $92.8 ยท ฮ” -0.31
P&L at Expiry Now $1737 Target $1530 $1216 $1737 $2258
Stock (100 sh) Bear Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If KLAC hits $1530 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$7,820 (126.5%) on $6,180 risked, vs $-20,728 (-11.9%) for 100 shares on $173,728. Options give 10.6ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KLAC is at $1530. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if KLAC hits $1530 by Jun 19
+$7,820
+126.5% on $6,180 risked
Max Profit
+$7,820
If the stock โ‰ค $1600 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$6,180
Net debit
Break-even
$1678.20
-3.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-13.5 / -7.39 / 14.6
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

KLAC Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$1390 (-20%) +$5,255 +$5,865 +$6,836 +$7,820
$1477 (-15%) +$4,096 +$4,615 +$5,606 +$7,820
$1530 (-12%) โ† target +$3,306 +$3,706 +$4,535 +$7,820
$1564 (-10%) +$2,790 +$3,095 +$3,756 +$7,820
$1650 (-5%) +$1,426 +$1,445 +$1,519 +$2,778
$1703 (-2%) +$617 +$458 +$149 -$2,433
$1737 (0%) โ† spot +$92 -$180 -$726 -$5,908
$1772 (+2%) -$417 -$793 -$1,547 -$6,180
$1824 (+5%) -$1,143 -$1,653 -$2,646 -$6,180
$1911 (+10%) -$2,232 -$2,896 -$4,078 -$6,180
$1998 (+15%) -$3,154 -$3,883 -$5,025 -$6,180
$2085 (+20%) -$3,908 -$4,626 -$5,590 -$6,180
Uses KLAC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.