Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
KLAC
$1,737.28
๐ŸŸข
KLAC IV: 49.5% โ€” LOW (-37.4% vs 30d avg of 79.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $1650 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $1740 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $164.2 ยท ฮ” -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $1650 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $96.96 ยท ฮ” -0.35
P&L at Expiry Now $1737 Target $1650 $1216 $1737 $2258
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If KLAC hits $1650 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$7,280 (108.3%) on $6,724 risked, vs $-8,728 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $173,728. Options give 21.7ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KLAC is at $1650. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if KLAC hits $1650 by Jun 19
+$7,280
+108.3% on $6,724 risked
Max Profit
+$7,130
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$6,454
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$1798.53
+3.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-8.54 / 13.45 / 73.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

KLAC Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$1390 (-20%) +$1,887 +$2,233 +$2,555 +$2,143
$1477 (-15%) +$1,658 +$2,139 +$2,814 +$2,957
$1564 (-10%) +$1,257 +$1,799 +$2,722 +$4,576
$1650 (-5%) โ† target +$696 +$1,200 +$2,130 +$7,280
$1703 (-2%) +$290 +$725 +$1,529 +$4,278
$1737 (0%) โ† spot +$0 +$375 +$1,052 +$2,552
$1772 (+2%) -$303 +$2 +$525 +$1,028
$1824 (+5%) -$774 -$585 -$320 -$897
$1911 (+10%) -$1,578 -$1,594 -$1,756 -$3,255
$1998 (+15%) -$2,366 -$2,568 -$3,067 -$4,761
$2085 (+20%) -$3,105 -$3,452 -$4,150 -$5,665
Uses KLAC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.