Target Price Playground
KLAC
$1,737.28
๐ข
KLAC IV: 49.5% โ LOW
(-37.4% vs 30d avg of 79.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1950 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1740 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $162.8 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KLAC hits $1950 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$4,720 (29.0%) on $16,280 risked, vs +$21,272 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $173,728. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KLAC is at $1950. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KLAC hits $1950 by Jun 19
+$4,720
+29.0% on $16,280 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$16,280
Premium paid
Break-even
$1902.80
+9.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.05 / -127.33 / 292.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KLAC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1390 (-20%) | -$13,697 | -$14,975 | -$16,002 | -$16,280 |
| $1477 (-15%) | -$11,786 | -$13,593 | -$15,388 | -$16,280 |
| $1564 (-10%) | -$9,090 | -$11,383 | -$14,010 | -$16,280 |
| $1650 (-5%) | -$5,543 | -$8,197 | -$11,495 | -$16,280 |
| $1703 (-2%) | -$3,004 | -$5,792 | -$9,335 | -$16,280 |
| $1737 (0%) โ spot | -$1,142 | -$3,983 | -$7,610 | -$16,280 |
| $1772 (+2%) | +$849 | -$2,016 | -$5,663 | -$13,077 |
| $1824 (+5%) | +$4,069 | +$1,220 | -$2,346 | -$7,866 |
| $1911 (+10%) | +$10,009 | +$7,304 | +$4,108 | +$821 |
| $1950 (+12%) โ target | +$12,886 | +$10,283 | +$7,314 | +$4,720 |
| $1998 (+15%) | +$16,577 | +$14,119 | +$11,455 | +$9,507 |
| $2085 (+20%) | +$23,664 | +$21,508 | +$19,399 | +$18,194 |
Uses KLAC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.