Target Price Playground
KLAC
$1,737.28
๐ข
KLAC IV: 49.5% โ LOW
(-37.4% vs 30d avg of 79.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1950 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $1737.28 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KLAC hits $1950 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$21,272 (12.2%) on $173,728 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KLAC hits $1950 by Jun 19
+$21,272
+12.2% on $173,728 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$173,728
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$1737.28
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KLAC Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1390 (-20%) | -$34,746 | -$34,746 | -$34,746 |
| $1477 (-15%) | -$26,059 | -$26,059 | -$26,059 |
| $1564 (-10%) | -$17,373 | -$17,373 | -$17,373 |
| $1650 (-5%) | -$8,686 | -$8,686 | -$8,686 |
| $1703 (-2%) | -$3,475 | -$3,475 | -$3,475 |
| $1737 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $1772 (+2%) | +$3,475 | +$3,475 | +$3,475 |
| $1824 (+5%) | +$8,686 | +$8,686 | +$8,686 |
| $1911 (+10%) | +$17,373 | +$17,373 | +$17,373 |
| $1950 (+12%) โ target | +$21,272 | +$21,272 | +$21,272 |
| $1998 (+15%) | +$26,059 | +$26,059 | +$26,059 |
| $2085 (+20%) | +$34,746 | +$34,746 | +$34,746 |
Uses KLAC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.