Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $87 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $77 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.31 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $84 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.83 ยท ฮ 0.22
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $87 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$452 (182.2%) on $248 risked, vs +$953 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 14.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $87. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $87 by Jun 19
+$452
+182.2% on $248 risked
Max Profit
+$452
If the stock โฅ $84 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$248
Net debit
Break-even
$79.48
+2.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
17%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
36.26 / -0.8 / 3.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | -$246 | -$248 | -$248 | -$248 |
| $66 (-15%) | -$236 | -$245 | -$248 | -$248 |
| $70 (-10%) | -$202 | -$224 | -$243 | -$248 |
| $74 (-5%) | -$124 | -$157 | -$203 | -$248 |
| $76 (-2%) | -$54 | -$84 | -$134 | -$248 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$22 | -$64 | -$201 |
| $79 (+2%) | +$57 | +$45 | +$22 | -$46 |
| $81 (+5%) | +$144 | +$149 | +$159 | +$186 |
| $85 (+10%) | +$271 | +$297 | +$342 | +$452 |
| $87 (+12%) โ target | +$317 | +$346 | +$391 | +$452 |
| $89 (+15%) | +$359 | +$388 | +$424 | +$452 |
| $93 (+20%) | +$409 | +$429 | +$446 | +$452 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.