Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $68 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $77 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $71 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.47 ยท ฮ -0.13
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $68 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$427 (246.1%) on $173 risked, vs $-947 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 20.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $68. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $68 by Jun 19
+$427
+246.1% on $173 risked
Max Profit
+$427
If the stock โค $71 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$173
Net debit
Break-even
$75.27
-2.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
17%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-28.72 / -0.62 / 5.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | +$404 | +$417 | +$425 | +$427 |
| $66 (-15%) | +$356 | +$383 | +$412 | +$427 |
| $68 (-12%) โ target | +$308 | +$338 | +$381 | +$427 |
| $70 (-10%) | +$259 | +$286 | +$332 | +$427 |
| $74 (-5%) | +$127 | +$132 | +$141 | +$167 |
| $76 (-2%) | +$48 | +$38 | +$16 | -$65 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$17 | -$52 | -$173 |
| $79 (+2%) | -$41 | -$63 | -$102 | -$173 |
| $81 (+5%) | -$90 | -$113 | -$146 | -$173 |
| $85 (+10%) | -$140 | -$156 | -$170 | -$173 |
| $89 (+15%) | -$162 | -$169 | -$173 | -$173 |
| $93 (+20%) | -$170 | -$172 | -$173 | -$173 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.