Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $84 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $77.47 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $84 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.83 ยท ฮ 0.22
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $84 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$736 (9.6%) on $7,664 risked, vs +$653 (8.4%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $84. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $84 by Jun 19
+$736
+9.6% on $7,664 risked
Max Profit
+$736
If the stock โฅ $84 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$7,664
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$76.64
-1.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
78.09 / 1.71 / -9.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | -$1,466 | -$1,466 | -$1,466 | -$1,466 |
| $66 (-15%) | -$1,080 | -$1,079 | -$1,079 | -$1,079 |
| $70 (-10%) | -$698 | -$693 | -$692 | -$692 |
| $74 (-5%) | -$330 | -$313 | -$305 | -$304 |
| $76 (-2%) | -$126 | -$97 | -$77 | -$72 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$38 | +$71 | +$83 |
| $79 (+2%) | +$116 | +$163 | +$210 | +$238 |
| $81 (+5%) | +$267 | +$325 | +$393 | +$470 |
| $84 (+8%) โ target | +$404 | +$469 | +$550 | +$736 |
| $85 (+10%) | +$455 | +$520 | +$600 | +$736 |
| $89 (+15%) | +$568 | +$625 | +$686 | +$736 |
| $93 (+20%) | +$626 | +$670 | +$708 | +$736 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.