Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $74 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $77 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.6 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $74 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.11 ยท ฮ -0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $74 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$194 (130.4%) on $149 risked, vs $-347 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 29.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $74. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $74 by Jun 19
+$194
+130.4% on $149 risked
Max Profit
+$193
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$149
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$77.32
-0.19% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-15.6 / 0.14 / 4.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | +$123 | +$124 | +$124 | +$124 |
| $66 (-15%) | +$118 | +$125 | +$127 | +$125 |
| $70 (-10%) | +$99 | +$113 | +$129 | +$133 |
| $74 (-4%) โ target | +$52 | +$65 | +$88 | +$193 |
| $76 (-2%) | +$24 | +$32 | +$46 | +$69 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$3 | +$7 | -$7 |
| $79 (+2%) | -$24 | -$26 | -$31 | -$62 |
| $81 (+5%) | -$57 | -$65 | -$79 | -$112 |
| $85 (+10%) | -$101 | -$111 | -$126 | -$143 |
| $89 (+15%) | -$127 | -$135 | -$143 | -$148 |
| $93 (+20%) | -$140 | -$145 | -$148 | -$149 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.