Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $68 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $77 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $68 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$680 (308.4%) on $220 risked, vs $-947 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 25.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $68. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $68 by Jun 19
+$680
+308.4% on $220 risked
Max Profit
+$7,480
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$220
Premium paid
Break-even
$74.80
-3.45% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
17%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-41.83 / -1.58 / 12.96
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | +$1,221 | +$1,240 | +$1,260 | +$1,282 |
| $66 (-15%) | +$844 | +$856 | +$873 | +$895 |
| $68 (-12%) โ target | +$645 | +$649 | +$659 | +$680 |
| $70 (-10%) | +$496 | +$490 | +$491 | +$508 |
| $74 (-5%) | +$206 | +$178 | +$144 | +$120 |
| $76 (-2%) | +$72 | +$35 | -$15 | -$112 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$39 | -$92 | -$220 |
| $79 (+2%) | -$58 | -$96 | -$146 | -$220 |
| $81 (+5%) | -$122 | -$155 | -$192 | -$220 |
| $85 (+10%) | -$183 | -$202 | -$217 | -$220 |
| $89 (+15%) | -$208 | -$216 | -$220 | -$220 |
| $93 (+20%) | -$217 | -$219 | -$220 | -$220 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.