Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $85 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $77.47 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $74 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.11 ยท ฮ -0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $85 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$642 (8.2%) on $7,858 risked, vs +$753 (9.7%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $85. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $85 by Jun 19
+$642
+8.2% on $7,858 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$458
Put floors you at $74
Break-even
$78.58
+1.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
27%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
74.36 / -1.39 / 10.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | -$512 | -$497 | -$479 | -$458 |
| $66 (-15%) | -$486 | -$485 | -$477 | -$458 |
| $70 (-10%) | -$408 | -$430 | -$453 | -$458 |
| $74 (-5%) | -$248 | -$285 | -$336 | -$458 |
| $76 (-2%) | -$109 | -$146 | -$195 | -$266 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$34 | -$74 | -$111 |
| $79 (+2%) | +$120 | +$92 | +$61 | +$44 |
| $81 (+5%) | +$318 | +$298 | +$281 | +$276 |
| $85 (+10%) โ target | +$656 | +$647 | +$642 | +$642 |
| $89 (+15%) | +$1,055 | +$1,052 | +$1,051 | +$1,051 |
| $93 (+20%) | +$1,439 | +$1,438 | +$1,438 | +$1,438 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.