Target Price Playground
KO
$77.47
๐ข
KO IV: 21.2% โ LOW
(-44.5% vs 30d avg of 38.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $89 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $77 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.31 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $77 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KO hits $89 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$649 (117.8%) on $551 risked, vs +$1,153 (14.9%) for 100 shares on $7,747. Options give 7.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KO is at $89. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KO hits $89 by Jun 19
+$649
+117.8% on $551 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$551
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$82.51
+6.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
9%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.33 / -4.09 / 25.93
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $62 (-20%) | +$891 | +$909 | +$929 | +$951 |
| $66 (-15%) | +$525 | +$529 | +$543 | +$564 |
| $70 (-10%) | +$216 | +$184 | +$165 | +$177 |
| $74 (-5%) | +$25 | -$53 | -$141 | -$211 |
| $76 (-2%) | -$11 | -$106 | -$227 | -$443 |
| $77 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$99 | -$227 | -$504 |
| $79 (+2%) | +$39 | -$59 | -$180 | -$349 |
| $81 (+5%) | +$142 | +$56 | -$40 | -$117 |
| $85 (+10%) | +$409 | +$350 | +$300 | +$271 |
| $89 (+15%) โ target | +$737 | +$700 | +$671 | +$649 |
| $93 (+20%) | +$1,115 | +$1,089 | +$1,067 | +$1,045 |
Uses KO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.