Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.26 ยท ฮ -0.21
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $15 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$94 (166.7%) on $56 risked, vs $-190 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 14.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $15. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $15 by Jun 19
+$94
+166.7% on $56 risked
Max Profit
+$94
If the stock โค $15 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$56
Net debit
Break-even
$15.94
-2.82% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-26.23 / -0.12 / 0.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$80 | +$86 | +$92 | +$94 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$66 | +$73 | +$84 | +$94 |
| $15 (-12%) โ target | +$53 | +$60 | +$71 | +$94 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$46 | +$52 | +$62 | +$94 |
| $16 (-5%) | +$23 | +$24 | +$27 | +$36 |
| $16 (-2%) | +$9 | +$7 | +$4 | -$13 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$3 | -$10 | -$46 |
| $17 (+2%) | -$8 | -$13 | -$22 | -$56 |
| $17 (+5%) | -$19 | -$25 | -$36 | -$56 |
| $18 (+10%) | -$34 | -$40 | -$49 | -$56 |
| $19 (+15%) | -$43 | -$49 | -$54 | -$56 |
| $20 (+20%) | -$49 | -$53 | -$56 | -$56 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.