Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.86 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.47 ยท ฮ 0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $19 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$61 (157.7%) on $39 risked, vs +$210 (12.8%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 12.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $19 by Jun 19
+$61
+157.7% on $39 risked
Max Profit
+$61
If the stock โฅ $18 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$39
Net debit
Break-even
$16.89
+2.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
32%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
17.91 / -0.07 / 0.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | -$37 | -$38 | -$39 | -$39 |
| $14 (-15%) | -$33 | -$36 | -$38 | -$39 |
| $15 (-10%) | -$25 | -$30 | -$36 | -$39 |
| $16 (-5%) | -$14 | -$18 | -$26 | -$39 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$6 | -$9 | -$16 | -$39 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$2 | -$7 | -$39 |
| $17 (+2%) | +$6 | +$5 | +$3 | -$16 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$15 | +$16 | +$18 | +$33 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$28 | +$32 | +$39 | +$61 |
| $19 (+13%) โ target | +$35 | +$39 | +$47 | +$61 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$39 | +$44 | +$52 | +$61 |
| $20 (+20%) | +$47 | +$52 | +$58 | +$61 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.