Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $16.4 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.47 ยท ฮ 0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $18 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$157 (9.9%) on $1,593 risked, vs +$110 (6.7%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $18 by Jun 19
+$157
+9.9% on $1,593 risked
Max Profit
+$157
If the stock โฅ $18 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,593
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$15.93
-2.86% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.67 / 0.65 / -2.61
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | -$282 | -$281 | -$281 | -$281 |
| $14 (-15%) | -$203 | -$200 | -$199 | -$199 |
| $15 (-10%) | -$127 | -$121 | -$118 | -$117 |
| $16 (-5%) | -$59 | -$48 | -$39 | -$35 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$22 | -$9 | +$5 | +$14 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$15 | +$32 | +$47 |
| $17 (+2%) | +$20 | +$37 | +$57 | +$80 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$47 | +$65 | +$88 | +$129 |
| $18 (+7%) โ target | +$60 | +$79 | +$102 | +$157 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$82 | +$100 | +$123 | +$157 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$106 | +$123 | +$141 | +$157 |
| $20 (+20%) | +$122 | +$136 | +$149 | +$157 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.