Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $17 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.95 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.4 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $16 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$58 (104.9%) on $55 risked, vs $-90 (-5.5%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 19.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $16 by Jun 19
+$58
+104.9% on $55 risked
Max Profit
+$56
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$55
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$16.43
+0.19% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-16.97 / 0.05 / 0.93
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$37 | +$39 | +$40 | +$39 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$33 | +$36 | +$40 | +$40 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$25 | +$30 | +$37 | +$45 |
| $16 (-5%) โ target | +$15 | +$19 | +$26 | +$58 |
| $16 (-2%) | +$6 | +$8 | +$12 | +$20 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$1 | +$3 | +$2 |
| $17 (+2%) | -$5 | -$5 | -$6 | -$13 |
| $17 (+5%) | -$14 | -$15 | -$18 | -$30 |
| $18 (+10%) | -$26 | -$29 | -$35 | -$45 |
| $19 (+15%) | -$36 | -$40 | -$45 | -$52 |
| $20 (+20%) | -$43 | -$46 | -$51 | -$54 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.