Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $15 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $15 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$118 (143.4%) on $82 risked, vs $-190 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 12.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $15. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $15 by Jun 19
+$118
+143.4% on $82 risked
Max Profit
+$1,568
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$82
Premium paid
Break-even
$15.68
-4.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.76 / -0.52 / 2.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$246 | +$248 | +$251 | +$256 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$170 | +$169 | +$170 | +$174 |
| $15 (-12%) โ target | +$123 | +$118 | +$116 | +$118 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$102 | +$96 | +$91 | +$92 |
| $16 (-5%) | +$45 | +$35 | +$22 | +$10 |
| $16 (-2%) | +$17 | +$4 | -$12 | -$39 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$13 | -$30 | -$72 |
| $17 (+2%) | -$14 | -$27 | -$45 | -$82 |
| $17 (+5%) | -$32 | -$45 | -$61 | -$82 |
| $18 (+10%) | -$53 | -$64 | -$75 | -$82 |
| $19 (+15%) | -$67 | -$74 | -$80 | -$82 |
| $20 (+20%) | -$74 | -$79 | -$82 | -$82 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.