Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG 100 SHARES
@ $16.4 ยท ฮ” 1.00
P&L at Expiry Now $16 Target $19 $11 $16 $21
Stock (100 sh) Long Stock Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If KVYO hits $19 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$210 (12.8%) on $1,640 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Stock-only position โ€” no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if KVYO hits $19 by Jun 19
+$210
+12.8% on $1,640 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โˆ’$1,640
If stock โ†’ $0
Break-even
$16.40
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
32%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

KVYO Price Today May 13 Jun 12 (exp)
$13 (-20%) -$328 -$328 -$328
$14 (-15%) -$246 -$246 -$246
$15 (-10%) -$164 -$164 -$164
$16 (-5%) -$82 -$82 -$82
$16 (-2%) -$33 -$33 -$33
$16 (0%) โ† spot +$0 +$0 +$0
$17 (+2%) +$33 +$33 +$33
$17 (+5%) +$82 +$82 +$82
$18 (+10%) +$164 +$164 +$164
$19 (+13%) โ† target +$210 +$210 +$210
$19 (+15%) +$246 +$246 +$246
$20 (+20%) +$328 +$328 +$328
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.