Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $16.4 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.4 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $18 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$120 (7.1%) on $1,680 risked, vs +$160 (9.8%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $18 by Jun 19
+$120
+7.1% on $1,680 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$130
Put floors you at $16
Break-even
$16.80
+2.45% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
71.49 / -0.47 / 2.39
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | -$133 | -$134 | -$134 | -$130 |
| $14 (-15%) | -$119 | -$125 | -$130 | -$130 |
| $15 (-10%) | -$92 | -$103 | -$116 | -$130 |
| $16 (-5%) | -$53 | -$65 | -$81 | -$122 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$23 | -$35 | -$50 | -$73 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$11 | -$25 | -$40 |
| $17 (+2%) | +$25 | +$14 | +$2 | -$7 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$64 | +$55 | +$46 | +$42 |
| $18 (+10%) โ target | +$131 | +$125 | +$121 | +$120 |
| $19 (+15%) | +$211 | +$208 | +$206 | +$206 |
| $20 (+20%) | +$290 | +$289 | +$288 | +$288 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.