Target Price Playground
KVYO
$16.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.86 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.82 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KVYO hits $19 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$82 (48.9%) on $168 risked, vs +$260 (15.9%) for 100 shares on $1,640. Options give 3.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KVYO is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KVYO hits $19 by Jun 19
+$82
+48.9% on $168 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$168
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$14.82
-9.63% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
22%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
6.47 / -1.24 / 5.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KVYO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13 (-20%) | +$163 | +$163 | +$165 | +$170 |
| $14 (-15%) | +$94 | +$87 | +$84 | +$88 |
| $15 (-10%) | +$40 | +$24 | +$9 | +$6 |
| $16 (-5%) | +$7 | -$18 | -$48 | -$76 |
| $16 (-2%) | -$0 | -$29 | -$66 | -$125 |
| $16 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$30 | -$69 | -$158 |
| $17 (+2%) | +$4 | -$26 | -$66 | -$145 |
| $17 (+5%) | +$17 | -$12 | -$49 | -$96 |
| $18 (+10%) | +$57 | +$32 | +$5 | -$14 |
| $19 (+16%) โ target | +$123 | +$105 | +$90 | +$82 |
| $20 (+20%) | +$179 | +$166 | +$155 | +$150 |
Uses KVYO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.