Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.33 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $540 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.15 ยท ฮ 0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $560 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$2,282 (132.8%) on $1,718 risked, vs +$5,685 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 11.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $560 by Jun 19
+$2,282
+132.8% on $1,718 risked
Max Profit
+$2,282
If the stock โฅ $540 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,718
Net debit
Break-even
$517.18
+2.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
28%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
30.04 / -4.18 / 3.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | -$1,683 | -$1,710 | -$1,718 | -$1,718 |
| $428 (-15%) | -$1,576 | -$1,661 | -$1,712 | -$1,718 |
| $453 (-10%) | -$1,310 | -$1,471 | -$1,648 | -$1,718 |
| $478 (-5%) | -$830 | -$1,014 | -$1,313 | -$1,718 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$450 | -$595 | -$868 | -$1,718 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$171 | -$270 | -$468 | -$1,403 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$116 | +$74 | -$13 | -$397 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$544 | +$591 | +$687 | +$1,113 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$1,177 | +$1,332 | +$1,613 | +$2,282 |
| $560 (+11%) โ target | +$1,316 | +$1,486 | +$1,776 | +$2,282 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$1,646 | +$1,825 | +$2,077 | +$2,282 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$1,944 | +$2,087 | +$2,230 | +$2,282 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.