Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $445 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.4 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $465 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.51 ยท ฮ -0.21
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $445 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$2,411 (221.4%) on $1,089 risked, vs $-5,815 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 19.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $445. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $445 by Jun 19
+$2,411
+221.4% on $1,089 risked
Max Profit
+$2,411
If the stock โค $465 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,089
Net debit
Break-even
$489.11
-2.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
27%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-22.62 / -2.92 / 15.37
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | +$2,218 | +$2,318 | +$2,392 | +$2,411 |
| $428 (-15%) | +$1,913 | +$2,080 | +$2,288 | +$2,411 |
| $445 (-12%) โ target | +$1,575 | +$1,745 | +$2,020 | +$2,411 |
| $453 (-10%) | +$1,391 | +$1,545 | +$1,814 | +$2,411 |
| $478 (-5%) | +$729 | +$766 | +$832 | +$1,112 |
| $493 (-2%) | +$328 | +$281 | +$175 | -$398 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | +$80 | -$13 | -$205 | -$1,089 |
| $513 (+2%) | -$145 | -$272 | -$510 | -$1,089 |
| $528 (+5%) | -$430 | -$579 | -$817 | -$1,089 |
| $553 (+10%) | -$762 | -$890 | -$1,033 | -$1,089 |
| $579 (+15%) | -$945 | -$1,024 | -$1,081 | -$1,089 |
| $604 (+20%) | -$1,032 | -$1,071 | -$1,088 | -$1,089 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.