Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $540 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $503.15 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $540 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.15 ยท ฮ 0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $540 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$4,400 (8.9%) on $49,600 risked, vs +$3,685 (7.3%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $540. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $540 by Jun 19
+$4,400
+8.9% on $49,600 risked
Max Profit
+$4,400
If the stock โฅ $540 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$49,600
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$496.00
-1.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
73.3 / 13.49 / -80.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | -$9,353 | -$9,348 | -$9,348 | -$9,348 |
| $428 (-15%) | -$6,860 | -$6,837 | -$6,832 | -$6,832 |
| $453 (-10%) | -$4,435 | -$4,354 | -$4,319 | -$4,317 |
| $478 (-5%) | -$2,173 | -$1,975 | -$1,832 | -$1,801 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$947 | -$661 | -$398 | -$291 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$204 | +$141 | +$500 | +$715 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$473 | +$871 | +$1,323 | +$1,721 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$1,357 | +$1,813 | +$2,373 | +$3,231 |
| $540 (+7%) โ target | +$1,929 | +$2,407 | +$3,005 | +$4,400 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$2,470 | +$2,947 | +$3,531 | +$4,400 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$3,179 | +$3,596 | +$4,045 | +$4,400 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$3,585 | +$3,909 | +$4,205 | +$4,400 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.