Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $480 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $500 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.4 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $480 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.1 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $480 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,379 (133.8%) on $1,030 risked, vs $-2,315 (-4.6%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 29.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $480. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $480 by Jun 19
+$1,379
+133.8% on $1,030 risked
Max Profit
+$1,343
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,030
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$504.77
+0.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.72 / 2.28 / 29.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | +$793 | +$808 | +$805 | +$798 |
| $428 (-15%) | +$755 | +$810 | +$845 | +$811 |
| $453 (-10%) | +$628 | +$726 | +$857 | +$912 |
| $480 (-5%) โ target | +$361 | +$452 | +$611 | +$1,399 |
| $493 (-2%) | +$194 | +$256 | +$364 | +$582 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | +$57 | +$91 | +$140 | +$90 |
| $513 (+2%) | -$82 | -$77 | -$89 | -$285 |
| $528 (+5%) | -$283 | -$318 | -$401 | -$660 |
| $553 (+10%) | -$568 | -$642 | -$762 | -$938 |
| $579 (+15%) | -$772 | -$845 | -$935 | -$1,013 |
| $604 (+20%) | -$898 | -$951 | -$1,001 | -$1,028 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.