Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $445 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.4 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $445 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$3,660 (198.9%) on $1,840 risked, vs $-5,815 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 17.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $445. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $445 by Jun 19
+$3,660
+198.9% on $1,840 risked
Max Profit
+$48,160
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,840
Premium paid
Break-even
$481.60
-4.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
27%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.0 / -14.77 / 84.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | +$7,537 | +$7,640 | +$7,767 | +$7,908 |
| $428 (-15%) | +$5,151 | +$5,178 | +$5,256 | +$5,392 |
| $445 (-12%) โ target | +$3,631 | +$3,569 | +$3,554 | +$3,660 |
| $453 (-10%) | +$2,992 | +$2,884 | +$2,808 | +$2,877 |
| $478 (-5%) | +$1,209 | +$962 | +$655 | +$361 |
| $493 (-2%) | +$364 | +$67 | -$334 | -$1,149 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$101 | -$410 | -$831 | -$1,840 |
| $513 (+2%) | -$490 | -$796 | -$1,200 | -$1,840 |
| $528 (+5%) | -$947 | -$1,221 | -$1,550 | -$1,840 |
| $553 (+10%) | -$1,427 | -$1,613 | -$1,782 | -$1,840 |
| $579 (+15%) | -$1,667 | -$1,769 | -$1,832 | -$1,840 |
| $604 (+20%) | -$1,774 | -$1,821 | -$1,839 | -$1,840 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.