Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $550 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $503.15 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $480 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.1 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $550 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$3,575 (7.0%) on $51,425 risked, vs +$4,685 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $550. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $550 by Jun 19
+$3,575
+7.0% on $51,425 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$3,425
Put floors you at $480
Break-even
$514.25
+2.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
70.1 / -13.4 / 71.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | -$3,715 | -$3,658 | -$3,559 | -$3,425 |
| $428 (-15%) | -$3,445 | -$3,508 | -$3,525 | -$3,425 |
| $453 (-10%) | -$2,828 | -$3,036 | -$3,277 | -$3,425 |
| $478 (-5%) | -$1,733 | -$2,026 | -$2,424 | -$3,425 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$835 | -$1,128 | -$1,514 | -$2,116 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$144 | -$419 | -$758 | -$1,110 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$610 | +$366 | +$89 | -$104 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$1,846 | +$1,655 | +$1,476 | +$1,406 |
| $550 (+9%) โ target | +$3,779 | +$3,665 | +$3,588 | +$3,575 |
| $579 (+15%) | +$6,503 | +$6,456 | +$6,438 | +$6,437 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$8,975 | +$8,957 | +$8,953 | +$8,953 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.