Target Price Playground
LIN
$503.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 25.1% โ LOW
(-37.7% vs 30d avg of 40.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $580 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.33 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.4 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $580 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$3,727 (87.2%) on $4,273 risked, vs +$7,685 (15.3%) for 100 shares on $50,315. Options give 5.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $580. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $580 by Jun 19
+$3,727
+87.2% on $4,273 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$4,273
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$542.73
+7.87% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
14%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.74 / -32.44 / 168.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $403 (-20%) | +$5,144 | +$5,215 | +$5,334 | +$5,475 |
| $428 (-15%) | +$2,889 | +$2,807 | +$2,829 | +$2,959 |
| $453 (-10%) | +$1,085 | +$734 | +$447 | +$444 |
| $478 (-5%) | +$35 | -$593 | -$1,343 | -$2,072 |
| $493 (-2%) | -$144 | -$873 | -$1,810 | -$3,582 |
| $503 (0%) โ spot | -$68 | -$822 | -$1,798 | -$3,958 |
| $513 (+2%) | +$159 | -$588 | -$1,531 | -$2,952 |
| $528 (+5%) | +$756 | +$73 | -$720 | -$1,442 |
| $553 (+10%) | +$2,312 | +$1,805 | +$1,332 | +$1,074 |
| $580 (+15%) โ target | +$4,468 | +$4,136 | +$3,883 | +$3,727 |
| $604 (+20%) | +$6,648 | +$6,420 | +$6,248 | +$6,105 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.