Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
LITE
$897.30
๐ŸŸข
LITE IV: 91.2% โ€” LOW (-28.3% vs 30d avg of 127.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $850 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $900 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $175.34 ยท ฮ” -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $850 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $126.8 ยท ฮ” -0.36
P&L at Expiry Now $897 Target $850 $628 $897 $1166
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If LITE hits $850 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$7,136 (147.0%) on $4,854 risked, vs $-4,730 (-5.3%) for 100 shares on $89,730. Options give 27.7ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LITE is at $850. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if LITE hits $850 by Jun 19
+$7,136
+147.0% on $4,854 risked
Max Profit
+$7,126
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,387
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$1039.30
+15.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
89%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-3.57 / 15.25 / 31.74
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

LITE Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$718 (-20%) +$719 +$1,099 +$1,693 +$2,027
$763 (-15%) +$678 +$1,104 +$1,845 +$3,231
$808 (-10%) +$594 +$1,040 +$1,862 +$4,796
$850 (-5%) โ† target +$479 +$919 +$1,751 +$6,616
$879 (-2%) +$381 +$804 +$1,605 +$5,132
$897 (0%) โ† spot +$314 +$722 +$1,491 +$4,299
$915 (+2%) +$243 +$633 +$1,360 +$3,522
$942 (+5%) +$129 +$487 +$1,135 +$2,457
$987 (+10%) -$78 +$214 +$702 +$928
$1032 (+15%) -$302 -$86 +$220 -$321
$1077 (+20%) -$537 -$403 -$283 -$1,329
Uses LITE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.