Target Price Playground
LITE
$897.30
๐ข
LITE IV: 91.0% โ LOW
(-28.4% vs 30d avg of 127.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1000 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $900 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $158.59 ยท ฮ 0.59
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LITE hits $1000 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-5,859 (-36.9%) on $15,859 risked, vs +$10,270 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $89,730. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LITE is at $1000. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LITE hits $1000 by Jun 19
$-5,859
-36.9% on $15,859 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$15,859
Premium paid
Break-even
$1058.59
+17.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.05 / -117.12 / 150.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LITE Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $718 (-20%) | -$10,083 | -$12,009 | -$14,182 | -$15,859 |
| $763 (-15%) | -$8,320 | -$10,495 | -$13,108 | -$15,859 |
| $808 (-10%) | -$6,298 | -$8,675 | -$11,655 | -$15,859 |
| $852 (-5%) | -$4,028 | -$6,556 | -$9,801 | -$15,859 |
| $879 (-2%) | -$2,551 | -$5,144 | -$8,495 | -$15,859 |
| $897 (0%) โ spot | -$1,520 | -$4,147 | -$7,546 | -$15,859 |
| $915 (+2%) | -$455 | -$3,106 | -$6,535 | -$14,334 |
| $942 (+5%) | +$1,207 | -$1,468 | -$4,911 | -$11,643 |
| $987 (+10%) | +$4,137 | +$1,460 | -$1,928 | -$7,156 |
| $1000 (+11%) โ target | +$5,019 | +$2,349 | -$1,008 | -$5,859 |
| $1032 (+15%) | +$7,251 | +$4,611 | +$1,357 | -$2,670 |
| $1077 (+20%) | +$10,533 | +$7,963 | +$4,902 | +$1,817 |
Uses LITE's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.