Target Price Playground
LRCX
$263.66
๐ข
LRCX IV: 59.6% โ LOW
(-32.7% vs 30d avg of 88.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $295 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $265 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.28 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LRCX hits $295 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$172 (6.1%) on $2,828 risked, vs +$3,134 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $26,366. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LRCX is at $295. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LRCX hits $295 by Jun 19
+$172
+6.1% on $2,828 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,828
Premium paid
Break-even
$293.28
+11.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.76 / -22.13 / 44.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LRCX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $211 (-20%) | -$2,114 | -$2,418 | -$2,706 | -$2,828 |
| $224 (-15%) | -$1,742 | -$2,127 | -$2,545 | -$2,828 |
| $237 (-10%) | -$1,267 | -$1,721 | -$2,262 | -$2,828 |
| $250 (-5%) | -$685 | -$1,190 | -$1,825 | -$2,828 |
| $258 (-2%) | -$286 | -$811 | -$1,481 | -$2,828 |
| $264 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$534 | -$1,218 | -$2,828 |
| $269 (+2%) | +$301 | -$237 | -$927 | -$2,435 |
| $277 (+5%) | +$782 | +$242 | -$444 | -$1,644 |
| $290 (+10%) | +$1,655 | +$1,127 | +$480 | -$325 |
| $295 (+12%) โ target | +$2,004 | +$1,485 | +$861 | +$172 |
| $303 (+15%) | +$2,605 | +$2,105 | +$1,525 | +$993 |
| $316 (+20%) | +$3,625 | +$3,162 | +$2,662 | +$2,311 |
Uses LRCX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.