Target Price Playground
MA
$498.66
๐ข
MA IV: 28.2% โ LOW
(-41.9% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $25.3 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $540 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.7 ยท ฮ 0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MA hits $560 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$2,240 (127.3%) on $1,760 risked, vs +$6,134 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $49,866. Options give 10.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MA is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MA hits $560 by Jun 19
+$2,240
+127.3% on $1,760 risked
Max Profit
+$2,240
If the stock โฅ $540 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,760
Net debit
Break-even
$517.60
+3.8% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
28.94 / -5.81 / 4.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $399 (-20%) | -$1,701 | -$1,743 | -$1,759 | -$1,760 |
| $424 (-15%) | -$1,572 | -$1,675 | -$1,749 | -$1,760 |
| $449 (-10%) | -$1,304 | -$1,471 | -$1,669 | -$1,760 |
| $474 (-5%) | -$868 | -$1,047 | -$1,346 | -$1,760 |
| $489 (-2%) | -$536 | -$680 | -$956 | -$1,760 |
| $499 (0%) โ spot | -$295 | -$400 | -$614 | -$1,760 |
| $509 (+2%) | -$45 | -$102 | -$224 | -$897 |
| $524 (+5%) | +$331 | +$353 | +$396 | +$599 |
| $549 (+10%) | +$914 | +$1,049 | +$1,307 | +$2,240 |
| $560 (+12%) โ target | +$1,147 | +$1,314 | +$1,612 | +$2,240 |
| $573 (+15%) | +$1,386 | +$1,572 | +$1,870 | +$2,240 |
| $598 (+20%) | +$1,725 | +$1,902 | +$2,120 | +$2,240 |
Uses MA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.