Target Price Playground
MA
$498.66
๐ข
MA IV: 28.2% โ LOW
(-41.9% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $25.3 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MA hits $560 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$3,470 (137.2%) on $2,530 risked, vs +$6,134 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $49,866. Options give 11.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MA is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MA hits $560 by Jun 19
+$3,470
+137.2% on $2,530 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,530
Premium paid
Break-even
$525.30
+5.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.57 / -19.66 / 84.19
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $399 (-20%) | -$2,458 | -$2,512 | -$2,529 | -$2,530 |
| $424 (-15%) | -$2,288 | -$2,433 | -$2,519 | -$2,530 |
| $449 (-10%) | -$1,895 | -$2,178 | -$2,434 | -$2,530 |
| $474 (-5%) | -$1,162 | -$1,583 | -$2,069 | -$2,530 |
| $489 (-2%) | -$528 | -$1,003 | -$1,591 | -$2,530 |
| $499 (0%) โ spot | -$20 | -$514 | -$1,134 | -$2,530 |
| $509 (+2%) | +$553 | +$56 | -$565 | -$1,667 |
| $524 (+5%) | +$1,530 | +$1,051 | +$482 | -$171 |
| $549 (+10%) | +$3,425 | +$3,023 | +$2,610 | +$2,323 |
| $560 (+12%) โ target | +$4,388 | +$4,028 | +$3,686 | +$3,470 |
| $573 (+15%) | +$5,572 | +$5,261 | +$4,989 | +$4,816 |
| $598 (+20%) | +$7,881 | +$7,646 | +$7,456 | +$7,309 |
Uses MA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.