Target Price Playground
MA
$498.66
๐ข
MA IV: 28.2% โ LOW
(-41.9% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $570 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $25.3 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $500 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.87 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MA hits $570 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$2,083 (42.4%) on $4,917 risked, vs +$7,134 (14.3%) for 100 shares on $49,866. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MA is at $570. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MA hits $570 by Jun 19
+$2,083
+42.4% on $4,917 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$4,917
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$450.83
-9.59% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
23%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
10.57 / -37.06 / 168.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $399 (-20%) | +$4,922 | +$4,950 | +$5,050 | +$5,190 |
| $424 (-15%) | +$2,769 | +$2,614 | +$2,578 | +$2,697 |
| $449 (-10%) | +$1,064 | +$631 | +$255 | +$204 |
| $474 (-5%) | +$34 | -$672 | -$1,509 | -$2,290 |
| $489 (-2%) | -$193 | -$1,008 | -$2,049 | -$3,786 |
| $499 (0%) โ spot | -$175 | -$1,027 | -$2,133 | -$4,783 |
| $509 (+2%) | -$26 | -$886 | -$1,992 | -$4,054 |
| $524 (+5%) | +$432 | -$390 | -$1,394 | -$2,558 |
| $549 (+10%) | +$1,729 | +$1,059 | +$368 | -$64 |
| $570 (+14%) โ target | +$3,257 | +$2,746 | +$2,304 | +$2,083 |
| $598 (+20%) | +$5,655 | +$5,319 | +$5,075 | +$4,922 |
Uses MA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.