Target Price Playground
META
$629.86
๐ข
META IV: 39.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 51.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $710 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $630 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $39.65 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $680 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.0 ยท ฮ 0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $710 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$3,035 (154.5%) on $1,965 risked, vs +$8,014 (12.7%) for 100 shares on $62,986. Options give 12.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $710. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $710 by Jun 19
+$3,035
+154.5% on $1,965 risked
Max Profit
+$3,035
If the stock โฅ $680 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,965
Net debit
Break-even
$649.65
+3.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.32 / -4.97 / 7.64
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $504 (-20%) | -$1,680 | -$1,823 | -$1,943 | -$1,965 |
| $535 (-15%) | -$1,414 | -$1,612 | -$1,855 | -$1,965 |
| $567 (-10%) | -$1,031 | -$1,246 | -$1,596 | -$1,965 |
| $598 (-5%) | -$548 | -$720 | -$1,063 | -$1,965 |
| $617 (-2%) | -$225 | -$344 | -$605 | -$1,965 |
| $630 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$78 | -$255 | -$1,965 |
| $642 (+2%) | +$224 | +$195 | +$116 | -$719 |
| $661 (+5%) | +$560 | +$605 | +$682 | +$1,170 |
| $693 (+10%) | +$1,094 | +$1,248 | +$1,548 | +$3,035 |
| $710 (+13%) โ target | +$1,359 | +$1,559 | +$1,934 | +$3,035 |
| $724 (+15%) | +$1,565 | +$1,793 | +$2,202 | +$3,035 |
| $756 (+20%) | +$1,956 | +$2,215 | +$2,617 | +$3,035 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.