Target Price Playground
META
$629.86
๐ข
META IV: 39.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 51.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $710 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $629.86 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $710 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$8,014 (12.7%) on $62,986 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $710 by Jun 19
+$8,014
+12.7% on $62,986 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$62,986
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$629.86
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $504 (-20%) | -$12,597 | -$12,597 | -$12,597 |
| $535 (-15%) | -$9,448 | -$9,448 | -$9,448 |
| $567 (-10%) | -$6,299 | -$6,299 | -$6,299 |
| $598 (-5%) | -$3,149 | -$3,149 | -$3,149 |
| $617 (-2%) | -$1,260 | -$1,260 | -$1,260 |
| $630 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $642 (+2%) | +$1,260 | +$1,260 | +$1,260 |
| $661 (+5%) | +$3,149 | +$3,149 | +$3,149 |
| $693 (+10%) | +$6,299 | +$6,299 | +$6,299 |
| $710 (+13%) โ target | +$8,014 | +$8,014 | +$8,014 |
| $724 (+15%) | +$9,448 | +$9,448 | +$9,448 |
| $756 (+20%) | +$12,597 | +$12,597 | +$12,597 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.