Target Price Playground
META
$629.86
๐ข
META IV: 39.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 51.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $720 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $630 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $39.65 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $630 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $40.75 ยท ฮ -0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $720 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$960 (11.9%) on $8,040 risked, vs +$9,014 (14.3%) for 100 shares on $62,986. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $720. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $720 by Jun 19
+$960
+11.9% on $8,040 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$8,040
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$549.60
-12.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
40%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
5.05 / -58.97 / 214.94
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $504 (-20%) | +$4,955 | +$4,602 | +$4,442 | +$4,571 |
| $535 (-15%) | +$2,797 | +$2,088 | +$1,497 | +$1,422 |
| $567 (-10%) | +$1,255 | +$177 | -$999 | -$1,727 |
| $598 (-5%) | +$440 | -$929 | -$2,637 | -$4,877 |
| $617 (-2%) | +$320 | -$1,154 | -$3,060 | -$6,766 |
| $630 (0%) โ spot | +$393 | -$1,120 | -$3,086 | -$8,026 |
| $642 (+2%) | +$584 | -$940 | -$2,910 | -$6,794 |
| $661 (+5%) | +$1,080 | -$415 | -$2,291 | -$4,905 |
| $693 (+10%) | +$2,415 | +$1,065 | -$476 | -$1,755 |
| $720 (+14%) โ target | +$3,996 | +$2,830 | +$1,645 | +$960 |
| $756 (+20%) | +$6,555 | +$5,652 | +$4,882 | +$4,543 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.