Target Price Playground
META
$629.86
๐ข
META IV: 39.0% โ LOW
(-23.9% vs 30d avg of 51.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $710 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $630 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $39.65 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $710 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$4,035 (101.8%) on $3,965 risked, vs +$8,014 (12.7%) for 100 shares on $62,986. Options give 8.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $710. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $710 by Jun 19
+$4,035
+101.8% on $3,965 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,965
Premium paid
Break-even
$669.65
+6.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.76 / -32.37 / 107.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $504 (-20%) | -$3,514 | -$3,775 | -$3,940 | -$3,965 |
| $535 (-15%) | -$3,018 | -$3,458 | -$3,838 | -$3,965 |
| $567 (-10%) | -$2,215 | -$2,839 | -$3,512 | -$3,965 |
| $598 (-5%) | -$1,047 | -$1,817 | -$2,756 | -$3,965 |
| $617 (-2%) | -$163 | -$985 | -$2,023 | -$3,965 |
| $630 (0%) โ spot | +$504 | -$338 | -$1,406 | -$3,965 |
| $642 (+2%) | +$1,229 | +$382 | -$688 | -$2,719 |
| $661 (+5%) | +$2,422 | +$1,589 | +$566 | -$830 |
| $693 (+10%) | +$4,664 | +$3,904 | +$3,049 | +$2,320 |
| $710 (+13%) โ target | +$6,001 | +$5,297 | +$4,554 | +$4,035 |
| $724 (+15%) | +$7,171 | +$6,519 | +$5,869 | +$5,469 |
| $756 (+20%) | +$9,883 | +$9,347 | +$8,877 | +$8,618 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.