Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $270 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.75 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.83 ยท ฮ 0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $300 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,208 (152.4%) on $792 risked, vs +$3,123 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 13.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $300 by Jun 19
+$1,208
+152.4% on $792 risked
Max Profit
+$1,208
If the stock โฅ $290 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$792
Net debit
Break-even
$277.92
+3.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
10.37 / -0.13 / -0.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | -$508 | -$584 | -$701 | -$792 |
| $228 (-15%) | -$398 | -$471 | -$605 | -$792 |
| $242 (-10%) | -$273 | -$332 | -$458 | -$792 |
| $255 (-5%) | -$138 | -$175 | -$265 | -$792 |
| $263 (-2%) | -$55 | -$75 | -$133 | -$792 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$7 | -$40 | -$792 |
| $274 (+2%) | +$56 | +$60 | +$54 | -$377 |
| $282 (+5%) | +$139 | +$162 | +$195 | +$429 |
| $296 (+10%) | +$272 | +$325 | +$421 | +$1,208 |
| $300 (+12%) โ target | +$314 | +$375 | +$489 | +$1,208 |
| $309 (+15%) | +$398 | +$476 | +$621 | +$1,208 |
| $323 (+20%) | +$514 | +$611 | +$787 | +$1,208 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.