Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $270 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.76 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $245 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.86 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $235 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,310 (110.1%) on $1,190 risked, vs $-3,377 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 8.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $235 by Jun 19
+$1,310
+110.1% on $1,190 risked
Max Profit
+$1,310
If the stock โค $245 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,190
Net debit
Break-even
$258.10
-3.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.34 / -1.79 / 4.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | +$734 | +$826 | +$999 | +$1,310 |
| $228 (-15%) | +$558 | +$626 | +$770 | +$1,310 |
| $235 (-13%) โ target | +$468 | +$519 | +$636 | +$1,310 |
| $242 (-10%) | +$372 | +$404 | +$483 | +$1,310 |
| $255 (-5%) | +$184 | +$174 | +$167 | +$277 |
| $263 (-2%) | +$72 | +$39 | -$22 | -$529 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$50 | -$144 | -$1,067 |
| $274 (+2%) | -$71 | -$136 | -$261 | -$1,190 |
| $282 (+5%) | -$173 | -$258 | -$423 | -$1,190 |
| $296 (+10%) | -$332 | -$445 | -$653 | -$1,190 |
| $309 (+15%) | -$475 | -$605 | -$830 | -$1,190 |
| $323 (+20%) | -$599 | -$738 | -$958 | -$1,190 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.