Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
MKSI
$268.77
๐ŸŸข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ€” LOW (-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $255 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $270 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.78 ยท ฮ” -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $255 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.2 ยท ฮ” -0.36
P&L at Expiry Now $269 Target $255 $188 $269 $349
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If MKSI hits $255 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,380 (109.7%) on $1,258 risked, vs $-1,377 (-5.1%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 21.5ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $255. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if MKSI hits $255 by Jun 19
+$1,380
+109.7% on $1,258 risked
Max Profit
+$1,366
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$1,089
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$285.12
+6.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-6.68 / 2.83 / 10.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

MKSI Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$215 (-20%) +$233 +$310 +$406 +$357
$228 (-15%) +$203 +$296 +$444 +$571
$242 (-10%) +$152 +$252 +$431 +$909
$255 (-5%) โ† target +$85 +$181 +$360 +$1,380
$263 (-2%) +$35 +$122 +$285 +$919
$269 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$80 +$227 +$656
$274 (+2%) -$37 +$34 +$163 +$417
$282 (+5%) -$95 -$38 +$57 +$101
$296 (+10%) -$196 -$167 -$135 -$319
$309 (+15%) -$300 -$300 -$329 -$626
$323 (+20%) -$403 -$430 -$510 -$842
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.